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Forex Flash: Muddled political situation slowly clears in Italy – Deutsche Bank

Italy's bond auction aside, the market was also encouraged by some better-than-expected US pending home sales for January (+4.5% v +1.9% m/m expected) although Durable goods orders (-5.2% v -4.8%) fell more than expected. The core part of the release was stronger though. Markets sentiment was also supported by chatter that White House will hold a meeting to discuss the Sequester on Friday. According to Politico, the White House has invited John Boehner, Mitch McConnell, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi for a meeting tomorrow.

According to Macro Strategy Analysts J. Reid and C. Tan at Deutsche Bank, “Bernanke's testimony ahead of the House Financial Services Committee was largely a non-event expected despite the Chairman suggesting that the Fed might still decide to hold on to its bond portfolio to maturity as part of a review of its exit strategy.”

Briefly on Italy the situation remains fairly fluid as Beppe Grillo yesterday described Bersani as a "dead man walking" and repeated that he won't be joining any coalition. Meanwhile ,Finance Underscecretary Gianfranco Polillo said that a joint government between Berlusconi and Bersani is the only possible way forward. Italy's economic sentiment index fell to 77.4 in February from a revised 80.0 in January.

US: Chicago PMI improves unexpectedly to 56.8 in February

The US Chicago PMI was expected to ease from 55.6 to 54.3 in February, but actual data surprised investors by increasing the expansionary pace to 56.8.
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Forex: EUR/USD pressured as US Chicago PMI improves against consensus

The greenback continues strengthening as another US indicator signals better improvement than expected. The US Chicago PMI was expected to ease from 55.6 to 54.3 in February, but actual data surprised investors by increasing the expansionary pace to 56.8.
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